Canada
FIFA #30 · 1556 ELO · CONCACAF · Group B
28%
Win group
72%
Advance
4.5
Avg points
Outlook
On the numbers, Canada (FIFA #30, 1556 ELO) sit in the mid-tier, dangerous on their day but not among the favourites. Across 10,000 simulations of Group B, the model has Canada advancing 72% of the time, so they are strong favourites to advance from their group. As a co-host, Canada also carry a home-advantage boost in the model whenever they play on home soil, which lifts their chances at the margins. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.