Japan

Outlook

On the numbers, Japan (FIFA #18, 1660 ELO) sit in the mid-tier, dangerous on their day but not among the favourites. Across 10,000 simulations of Group F, the model has Japan advancing 78% of the time, so they are strong favourites to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Japan have won 7 of their last 10 matches (70% win rate), scoring 19 and conceding 7 (1.9 for and 0.7against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.