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Mexico vs South Africa Matchday 1 · Group A · Thu, Jun 11, 3:00 PM ET · Estadio Banorte, Mexico City
Mexico 58% Draw 14% 28% South Africa
Predicted: Mexico to win
Mexico are strong favourites — ranked #15 with a commanding 251-point ELO advantage over #59 South Africa.
Prediction by a 5-factor model (ELO, form, metrics, home advantage, head-to-head) plus Monte Carlo simulation. A probability is not a certainty. See all predictions .
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World Cup 26 Predictor Privacy Terms USA · Mexico · Canada · 2026 Independent, data-driven forecasts built on ELO ratings, recent form, team metrics, and head-to-head records. Predictions are statistical estimates, not certainties, and are not betting advice. This site is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by FIFA.
