Austria

Outlook

On the numbers, Austria (FIFA #24, 1593 ELO) sit in the mid-tier, dangerous on their day but not among the favourites. Across 10,000 simulations of Group J, the model has Austria advancing 72% of the time, so they are strong favourites to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Austria have won 5 of their last 10 matches (50% win rate), scoring 20 and conceding 15 (2.0 for and 1.5against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.