Croatia

Outlook

On the numbers, Croatia (FIFA #11, 1717 ELO) are one of the stronger sides and a credible contender to go deep. Across 10,000 simulations of Group L, the model has Croatia advancing 77% of the time, so they are strong favourites to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Croatia have won 6 of their last 10 matches (60% win rate), scoring 17 and conceding 17 (1.7 for and 1.7against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.