England
FIFA #4 · 1826 ELO · UEFA · Group L
46%
Win group
86%
Advance
5.8
Avg points
Outlook
On the numbers, England (FIFA #4, 1826 ELO) rank among the genuine favourites to win the tournament. Across 10,000 simulations of Group L, the model has England advancing 86% of the time, so they are strong favourites to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.