Portugal

Outlook

On the numbers, Portugal (FIFA #5, 1764 ELO) are one of the stronger sides and a credible contender to go deep. Across 10,000 simulations of Group K, the model has Portugal advancing 81% of the time, so they are strong favourites to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Portugal have won 6 of their last 10 matches (60% win rate), scoring 23 and conceding 6 (2.3 for and 0.6against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.