Qatar

Outlook

On the numbers, Qatar (FIFA #55, 1455 ELO) come in as underdogs who will need to overperform their rating. Across 10,000 simulations of Group B, the model has Qatar advancing 55% of the time, so they are roughly even money to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Qatar have won 1 of their last 10 matches (10% win rate), scoring 6 and conceding 19 (0.6 for and 1.9against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.