Sweden
FIFA #37 · 1515 ELO · UEFA · Group F
16%
Win group
58%
Advance
3.5
Avg points
Outlook
On the numbers, Sweden (FIFA #37, 1515 ELO) come in as underdogs who will need to overperform their rating. Across 10,000 simulations of Group F, the model has Sweden advancing 58% of the time, so they are roughly even money to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.