Tunisia

Outlook

On the numbers, Tunisia (FIFA #44, 1483 ELO) come in as underdogs who will need to overperform their rating. Across 10,000 simulations of Group F, the model has Tunisia advancing 46% of the time, so they are roughly even money to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Tunisia have won 1 of their last 10 matches (10% win rate), scoring 5 and conceding 28 (0.5 for and 2.8against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.