World Cup 26 Predictor11 Jun – 19 Jul 2026
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Match Prediction

Ecuador vs Curaçao

Matchday 2 · Group E · Sat, Jun 20, 8:00 PM ET · Arrowhead Stadium

Ecuador 62%Draw 13%25% Curaçao

Predicted: Ecuador to win

Ecuador are strong favourites — ranked #23 with a commanding 300-point ELO advantage over #82 Curaçao.

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Prediction by a 5-factor model (ELO, form, metrics, home advantage, head-to-head) plus Monte Carlo simulation. A probability is not a certainty. See all predictions.