Ecuador

Outlook

On the numbers, Ecuador (FIFA #23, 1595 ELO) sit in the mid-tier, dangerous on their day but not among the favourites. Across 10,000 simulations of Group E, the model has Ecuador advancing 71% of the time, so they are strong favourites to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Ecuador have won 4 of their last 10 matches (40% win rate), scoring 11 and conceding 7 (1.1 for and 0.7against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.