Curaçao

Outlook

On the numbers, Curaçao (FIFA #82, 1295 ELO) come in as underdogs who will need to overperform their rating. Across 10,000 simulations of Group E, the model has Curaçao advancing 45% of the time, so they are roughly even money to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Curaçao have won 2 of their last 10 matches (20% win rate), scoring 14 and conceding 20 (1.4 for and 2.0against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.