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Iran vs New Zealand Matchday 1 · Group G · Mon, Jun 15, 9:00 PM ET · SoFi Stadium
Iran 64% Draw 12% 24% New Zealand
Predicted: Iran to win
Iran are strong favourites — ranked #20 with a commanding 333-point ELO advantage over #85 New Zealand.
Prediction by a 5-factor model (ELO, form, metrics, home advantage, head-to-head) plus Monte Carlo simulation. A probability is not a certainty. See all predictions .
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World Cup 26 Predictor Privacy Terms USA · Mexico · Canada · 2026 Independent, data-driven forecasts built on ELO ratings, recent form, team metrics, and head-to-head records. Predictions are statistical estimates, not certainties, and are not betting advice. This site is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by FIFA.
