New Zealand
FIFA #85 · 1282 ELO · OFC · Group G
7%
Win group
39%
Advance
2.5
Avg points
Outlook
On the numbers, New Zealand (FIFA #85, 1282 ELO) come in as underdogs who will need to overperform their rating. Across 10,000 simulations of Group G, the model has New Zealand advancing 39% of the time, so they face an uphill task to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.