New Zealand

Outlook

On the numbers, New Zealand (FIFA #85, 1282 ELO) come in as underdogs who will need to overperform their rating. Across 10,000 simulations of Group G, the model has New Zealand advancing 38% of the time, so they face an uphill task to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

New Zealand have won 1 of their last 10 matches (10% win rate), scoring 10 and conceding 23 (1.0 for and 2.3against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.