Iran

Outlook

On the numbers, Iran (FIFA #20, 1615 ELO) sit in the mid-tier, dangerous on their day but not among the favourites. Across 10,000 simulations of Group G, the model has Iran advancing 76% of the time, so they are strong favourites to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Iran have won 4 of their last 10 matches (40% win rate), scoring 16 and conceding 6 (1.6 for and 0.6against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.