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Senegal vs Iraq Matchday 3 · Group I · Fri, Jun 26, 3:00 PM ET · BMO Field
Senegal 58% Draw 14% 28% Iraq
Predicted: Senegal to win
Senegal are strong favourites — ranked #13 with a commanding 245-point ELO advantage over #57 Iraq.
Prediction by a 5-factor model (ELO, form, metrics, home advantage, head-to-head) plus Monte Carlo simulation. A probability is not a certainty. See all predictions .
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World Cup 26 Predictor Privacy Terms USA · Mexico · Canada · 2026 Independent, data-driven forecasts built on ELO ratings, recent form, team metrics, and head-to-head records. Predictions are statistical estimates, not certainties, and are not betting advice. This site is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by FIFA.
