Iraq

Outlook

On the numbers, Iraq (FIFA #57, 1447 ELO) come in as underdogs who will need to overperform their rating. Across 10,000 simulations of Group I, the model has Iraq advancing 48% of the time, so they are roughly even money to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Iraq have won 3 of their last 10 matches (30% win rate), scoring 7 and conceding 19 (0.7 for and 1.9against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.