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Uruguay vs Spain Matchday 3 · Group H · Fri, Jun 26, 8:00 PM ET · Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Uruguay 30% Draw 15% 55% Spain
Predicted: Spain to win
Spain are strong favourites — ranked #2 with a commanding 203-point ELO advantage over #17 Uruguay.
Prediction by a 5-factor model (ELO, form, metrics, home advantage, head-to-head) plus Monte Carlo simulation. A probability is not a certainty. See all predictions .
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World Cup 26 Predictor Privacy Terms USA · Mexico · Canada · 2026 Independent, data-driven forecasts built on ELO ratings, recent form, team metrics, and head-to-head records. Predictions are statistical estimates, not certainties, and are not betting advice. This site is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by FIFA.
