Uruguay

Outlook

On the numbers, Uruguay (FIFA #17, 1673 ELO) sit in the mid-tier, dangerous on their day but not among the favourites. Across 10,000 simulations of Group H, the model has Uruguay advancing 70% of the time, so they are strong favourites to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Uruguay have won 2 of their last 10 matches (20% win rate), scoring 8 and conceding 12 (0.8 for and 1.2against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.