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USA vs Australia Matchday 2 · Group D · Fri, Jun 19, 3:00 PM ET · Lumen Field
USA 44% Draw 20% 36% Australia
Predicted: USA to win
USA (#16) carry a clear 92-point ELO edge over Australia (#27); USA's recent form supports it (5W-1D-4L in their last 10).
Prediction by a 5-factor model (ELO, form, metrics, home advantage, head-to-head) plus Monte Carlo simulation. A probability is not a certainty. See all predictions .
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World Cup 26 Predictor Privacy Terms USA · Mexico · Canada · 2026 Independent, data-driven forecasts built on ELO ratings, recent form, team metrics, and head-to-head records. Predictions are statistical estimates, not certainties, and are not betting advice. This site is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by FIFA.
