
Australia
FIFA #27 · 1581 ELO · AFC · Group D
23%
Win group
65%
Advance
4.1
Avg points
Outlook
On the numbers, Australia (FIFA #27, 1581 ELO) sit in the mid-tier, dangerous on their day but not among the favourites. Across 10,000 simulations of Group D, the model has Australia advancing 65% of the time, so they are roughly even money to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.