Australia

Outlook

On the numbers, Australia (FIFA #27, 1581 ELO) sit in the mid-tier, dangerous on their day but not among the favourites. Across 10,000 simulations of Group D, the model has Australia advancing 64% of the time, so they are roughly even money to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Australia have won 3 of their last 10 matches (30% win rate), scoring 10 and conceding 10 (1.0 for and 1.0against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.