Match Prediction
USA vs Paraguay
Matchday 1 · Group D · Fri, Jun 12, 9:00 PM ET · SoFi Stadium
USA 47%Draw 19%35% Paraguay
Predicted: USA to win
USA are strong favourites — ranked #16 with a commanding 169-point ELO advantage over #41 Paraguay; USA's recent form supports it (5W-1D-4L in their last 10).
Prediction by a 5-factor model (ELO, form, metrics, home advantage, head-to-head) plus Monte Carlo simulation. A probability is not a certainty. See all predictions.