Paraguay
FIFA #41 · 1504 ELO · CONMEBOL · Group D
16%
Win group
57%
Advance
3.5
Avg points
Outlook
On the numbers, Paraguay (FIFA #41, 1504 ELO) come in as underdogs who will need to overperform their rating. Across 10,000 simulations of Group D, the model has Paraguay advancing 57% of the time, so they are roughly even money to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.