Saudi Arabia

Outlook

On the numbers, Saudi Arabia (FIFA #61, 1421 ELO) come in as underdogs who will need to overperform their rating. Across 10,000 simulations of Group H, the model has Saudi Arabia advancing 55% of the time, so they are roughly even money to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Saudi Arabia have won 2 of their last 10 matches (20% win rate), scoring 8 and conceding 15 (0.8 for and 1.5against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.