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France vs Iraq Matchday 2 · Group I · Mon, Jun 22, 5:00 PM ET · Lincoln Financial Field
France 69% Draw 10% 21% Iraq
Predicted: France to win
France are strong favourites — ranked #1 with a commanding 430-point ELO advantage over #57 Iraq.
Prediction by a 5-factor model (ELO, form, metrics, home advantage, head-to-head) plus Monte Carlo simulation. A probability is not a certainty. See all predictions .
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World Cup 26 Predictor Privacy Terms USA · Mexico · Canada · 2026 Independent, data-driven forecasts built on ELO ratings, recent form, team metrics, and head-to-head records. Predictions are statistical estimates, not certainties, and are not betting advice. This site is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or sponsored by FIFA.
