France
FIFA #1 · 1877 ELO · UEFA · Group I
49%
Win group
86%
Advance
5.9
Avg points
Outlook
On the numbers, France (FIFA #1, 1877 ELO) rank among the genuine favourites to win the tournament. Across 10,000 simulations of Group I, the model has France advancing 86% of the time, so they are strong favourites to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.