Norway

Outlook

On the numbers, Norway (FIFA #31, 1551 ELO) sit in the mid-tier, dangerous on their day but not among the favourites. Across 10,000 simulations of Group I, the model has Norway advancing 65% of the time, so they are roughly even money to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Norway have won 5 of their last 10 matches (50% win rate), scoring 18 and conceding 15 (1.8 for and 1.5against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.