Scotland

Outlook

On the numbers, Scotland (FIFA #43, 1498 ELO) come in as underdogs who will need to overperform their rating. Across 10,000 simulations of Group C, the model has Scotland advancing 64% of the time, so they are roughly even money to advance from their group. These are statistical estimates and update as results come in, not guarantees.

Scotland have won 5 of their last 10 matches (50% win rate), scoring 16 and conceding 12 (1.6 for and 1.2against per game). This recent form feeds directly into the model's prediction for every match they play.